球探网足球赛前分析

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Can the 2020 polls in Taiwan be trusted? Taiwan media: bullies deceive themselves

来源:中国台湾网 11:30:00, December 11, 2019 Source: China Taiwan Net

A survey by Taiwan's United Daily News shows that only 29% of people believe that the Democratic Progressive Party's Tsai Ing-wen polls are significantly ahead of the Kuomintang's South Korean Yu. The picture shows Tsai Ing-wen, leader of Taiwan. (Image source: Taiwan's United Daily News)

With one month to go before the polling day for the 2020 election in Taiwan, the polls done by various parties are endless, but basically all reflect the situation of Tsai Ing-wen of the Kuomintang ’s Korea University of the Lost Democratic Progressive Party. According to an article in the 11th issue of Taiwan's United Daily News, according to a survey conducted by the newspaper, less than 30% of people in Taiwan believe that these polls can reflect the true election situation. The polls have been turned from "scientific tools" to "political tools", which has made Taiwanese voters wary; however, those who deceive themselves and deceive those who do not conform to the untrue opinion polls may finally deceive themselves.

The article believes that the poll data looks like South Korea ’s Yu significantly lags behind Cai Yingwen, but from the popularity of the two teams in Korea and Cai, the popularity of Han ’s field is extremely high, and Cai has to rely on tour cars to mobilize. I will trust those polls.

But if not many people believe it, why are similar polls still being made one after another?

The article argues for three reasons. One is to cause hypnotic and brain-washing effects. The so-called "three people become tigers" have been lying for a long time, and some people will always believe it. Second, some opinion polls have received benefits or received instructions. As long as they make some changes in the subject, sampling or statistics, they can make results that cater to the parties. Third, it is necessary to crack down on the morale of the Korean Yu camp, so that supporters feel hopeless and disappointed. In this way, the purpose of the fake polls is achieved.

The article points out that polls were originally a "scientific tool" for social intention surveys, but fell into "political tools" in the hands of some people. In 2012, Tsai Ing-wen and Su Zhenchang in the DPP sought nominations for the general election. The leader of the "Internet Army" Yang Yiru secretly revealed the numbers of "Su lost Cai". This led to the defeat of Su Zhenchang under Tsai Ing-wen. What's more, the "Green Army" of the Green Camp is so active. By using the "Internet Army" and fake polls, psychedelic public opinion illusions can be created and the general public can't be prevented.

According to the article, in the past 30 years, Taiwanese voters have seen more election tricks and illusions, and have gradually learned to judge authenticity. Now they are also wary of various polls. And this is thanks to the DPP for its "exercise". It is undeniable that too many fake polls will eventually lie to themselves; at the end of last year (Taiwan counties and cities and below), the DPP was defeated. Is it right?

[Responsible editor: He Jianfeng]

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