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[Cross-strait Express Comment No. 496]
In 2020, the election of Taiwan's leaders enters a one-month countdown. "Han Zhangpei" is still sprinting, and firmly believes that although "the polls are behind", "the people are ahead". So, where does the confidence of South Korea ’s “people ’s lead” come from?
The first is distortion from polls. Since the start of this election, various polling agencies in Taiwan have continuously released polling data. Korea Yu ’s support was ahead of Tsai Ing-wen at the beginning. In June, the poll data achieved a “death cross”. Since then, Korea ’s support has always been behind Tsai Ing-wen ’s, with a maximum of nearly 30%. However, after South Korean Yu shouted to its supporters "refusal to polls" and "received the only poll to support Tsai Ing-wen", the support for "Han Zhangpei" dropped further by about 8%. The latest polls show that "Cai Lai Pei" leads with 20% of "Han Zhang Pei" and 9% of "Song Yu Pei" with 48% support, and the gap between Han and Cai widens to 28%. However, according to the online survey of the United Daily News, only 29% of voters believe that “Han Zhangpei” is significantly behind, and 22% of voters are convinced that the two are in the middle of the middle. I believe the poll data. This fully shows that the credibility of the polls is not high, and there are obvious traces of man-made operations that take the wind direction of the polls.
The second is from the "Han Fan". The "Korean Wave" set off in Taiwan's "Nine-in-One" election in 2018 won South Korea Yu the Kaohsiung mayoral election and the 2020 Taiwan leader ’s primary election within the KMT. In each of the campaigns for the Taiwan leader election in the subsequent South Korea ’s Yugoslavia, "Han Fan" was also strong. The public consciously participated in the event. The mood and popularity of the field were strong enough to show that "Korean Wave" has not subsided and "Hate" The "DPP" remains Taiwan's largest party.
The third is the demise of the "net army." Recently, a "card god" Yang Yeru was suspected of supporting the Internet to lead the wind, killing Taiwan's "Director of the Osaka Office" Su Qicheng, and was prosecuted. The "Kashen case" allowed the DPP to support the "net army" to bring the wind direction and smear dirty operations against opponents to the surface. According to a survey by Taiwan's United Daily News, more than 50% of the people in Taiwan believe that in this election, the negative electoral practices of "bringing the net to lead the wind" and "unjustly discrediting opponents" are serious, of which 45% believe that the people The party has the main responsibility. The "Kashen case" satisfies the DPP's manipulation of the media and discredited opponents' election operations. The perception of Taiwanese people is very poor. Therefore, the effect of discrediting South Korea ’s yoga is greatly reduced, and South Korea ’s support has increased by 8%.
Fourth is the advantage of cross-strait policies. Cross-strait policy has been an issue that cannot be avoided in previous elections of leaders in Taiwan. Since Tsai Ing-wen took office, he refused to acknowledge the "1992 Consensus" and "join the United States and Japan to resist the mainland." In order to seek re-election, he carried out the "Taiwan independence law" and constantly raised the cross-strait confrontation. Contrary to mainstream opinion in Taiwan. South Korean Yu has repeatedly stated publicly that it promotes the development of cross-strait relations and seeks for the well-being of the people of Taiwan. It better reflects the people's demands for developing cross-strait relations, ensuring cross-strait peace and stability, sharing the dividends of economic development on the mainland, and achieving the goal of "Taiwan security and people's wealth" Mainstream public opinion, will naturally win public opinion. (Netizen in Taiwan, China: Tang Fugong)
(This article is submitted by netizens and does not represent the views of China Taiwan Net.)
[Responsible editor: Li Jie]