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[Cross-strait Express Comment No. 481]
The "2019 Taiwan Political Situation and Cross-Strait Relations Review and Prospect Seminar" was held in Beijing on December 6. (Photo by Zhao Jing, Taiwan Net, China)
China Taiwan Net, Beijing, December 6 (Reporter Zhao Jing) The "2019 Taiwan Political Situation and Cross-Strait Relations Review and Prospect Seminar", sponsored by the National Taiwan Studies Association, was held in Beijing this morning.
The seminar was chaired by Yang Youyan, secretary general of the National Taiwan Research Association. In his speech, Wang Sheng, the executive vice president of the National Taiwan Research Association, said that at the end of the year, the National Taiwan Research Association will regularly invite its members and representatives of members, as well as heavyweight scholars from Taiwan. The development of the relationship is discussed. This year is no exception. When entering the last month of 2019, more than 50 experts and scholars from both sides of the strait gathered in Beijing to assess the situation across the Taiwan Straits and analyze the trend of cross-strait relations. The atmosphere at the seminar was warm.
In a keynote speech, Zhu Weidong, deputy director of the Taiwan Research Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said that "elections" are the most prominent feature of Taiwan's political situation in 2019, but the leading role in the development of cross-strait relations has always been firmly in the hands of the mainland. His "general judgement" for 2020 is that no matter who comes to power in the future, the big cross-strait pattern and big trends will not change. Cross-strait relations will still focus on whether to adhere to the "1992 consensus" and "one China principle." The contest between US interference and anti-interference will become more and more complicated. However, no matter how complicated and acute the situation in 2020, its risks and challenges to the mainland are only short-term uncertainties, and there can be no overall and general uncertainty, because "time" and "potential" do not stand on " "Taiwan independence" side, but on the mainland side. After going through twists and turns or even going backwards, cross-strait relations will eventually return to the correct track of peaceful development.
Zhou Zhihuai, a specially-appointed researcher at the Shanghai Institutes for International Studies and director of the Academic Committee of the Central and Normal University Taiwan and East Asia Center, delivered a speech entitled "Advancing in Institutional Games and Integrative Development". He summarized cross-strait relations in 2019 with "one key word", "two separation lines", and "three connection lines": "one key word" or "institutional game". The mainland strives to shape long-term mechanisms for peaceful development and continues to grasp the peace in cross-strait relations. The correct direction of development; "two separation lines" are "the separation line between Tsai Yingwen's separation from China and resistance to China" and "the United States vigorously supports the Tsai regime to further increase the centrifugal force between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait"; It is the "connection line for cross-strait democratic consultation", the connection line for deepening cross-strait integration and development, and the "connection line for non-governmental exchanges across the strait." Looking forward to 2020, Zhou Zhihuai believes that curbing the "Taiwan independence" adventure activities, safeguarding the prospects of cross-strait peace, and safeguarding the common interests of the people on both sides of the strait are still important issues for the peaceful development of cross-strait relations. No matter what changes occur in the situation across the Taiwan Strait, anyone, any force Neither can stop the process of peaceful development of cross-strait relations oriented towards national unification.
Li Peng, dean of the Taiwan Research Institute of Xiamen University, believes that the Taiwan elections look lively, but they are actually very boring, because once it enters the election season, policies and people's livelihood seem to be unimportant. People just want to watch the election drama. In particular, Tsai Ing-wen's aggressive manipulation of cross-strait issues in this election will pose serious hidden dangers to the development of cross-strait relations in the future. She no longer mentions "high-quality elections" and "clean elections". What he did was the same as that of Chen Shuibian. In terms of cross-strait relations, the mainland's policy this year is very clear. The policy of promoting peaceful reunification will not change, and the policy of deepening cross-strait integration and development and expanding cross-strait exchanges will not change. Given the established policy of the mainland, we will now see how the election results on the island will affect the situation across the Taiwan Straits. Will cross-strait relations be mitigated or a crisis? Preventing risks in 2020 is still an important aspect.
Professor Zhu Xinmin from Taiwan University of Political Science, Li Jianrong, Secretary-General of Zhongshan Academic and Cultural Foundation, Dai Li'an, an expert in opinion polls, and Chen Yishan, a columnist, from Taiwan. Analysis and discussion of English and Korean Yu's election and other angles. (Finish)
[Responsible editor: Zhao Jing]